Why most backtests lie
Survivorship, look-ahead and overfitting: the three biases that make a bad strategy look brilliant, and how to catch each one.
Plain-language explainers on systematic trading, written from real research on Indian market data. New articles are being published, so join the waitlist to be notified.
Survivorship, look-ahead and overfitting: the three biases that make a bad strategy look brilliant, and how to catch each one.
Why testing on today's Nifty constituents overstates returns, and how point-in-time universes fix it.
How a 1% gap between signal and fill on each side can turn a winning small-cap system into a losing one.
A 50% loss needs a 100% gain to recover. Why drawdown control matters more than chasing returns.
How to split your data so you're testing a system, not memorising the past.
What relative-strength rotation is, why it has been studied for decades, and where it tends to break down.
How simple market-regime filters can reduce drawdowns, and what they cost in missed rebounds.
Brokerage, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty, GST and short-term capital gains tax, all added up.
The psychology of drawdowns, and why rule-following matters more than finding the "perfect" strategy.
Note: Articles are for education only and use historical data. They are not research reports or recommendations, and any security mentioned is for illustration only. See our Disclaimer.